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Wednesday, April 19, 2017

Valero Texas Open - One-and-Done

The Valero Texas Open is set to kick off at TPC San Antonio, with Charley Hoffman as the defending champion. Given his extremely good course history, he's a viable option for a one-and-done selection despite the pressure of defending.

After weighing the options, I've decided to take the bait and go with Hoffman. Like Luke Donald proved last week in Hilton Head, sometimes a guy who is a true course horse is just too good to pass up.

Hoffman played great in the windy conditions at the Masters, and will face some light breezes in San Antonio. That's right up his alley.

Let's Go Blondilocks!

Wednesday, April 12, 2017

RBC Heritage - One-and-Done

The RBC Heritage is set to kick off on Thursday morning at Harbour Town Golf Links. While the chalk for the one-and-done game might be Matt Kuchar, I'm taking a South Carolinian with a solid track record and strong current form.

William McGirt gets the nod after playing well in his first Masters. McGirt has pair of T9s in his last three trips to Hilton Head, so hopefully converging trends have us covered.

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, April 5, 2017

Masters - One-and-Done

What promises to be a rather unique Masters will kick off in less than 12 hours, and here is this week's one-and-done selection.

In truth, Dustin probably wasn't going to be my play this week regardless of circumstances. That said, his back injury Wednesday night seals that deal. For me, this week came down to Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth.

Weather is supposed to be very windy for the first two rounds, and it appears that will be the case for virtually all tee times. My hope is that Spieth's masters of the greens at Augusta National will help him navigate his way to the weekend where he will catch fire in calmer conditions.

The guy has never finished worse than second here, so in Spieth we trust!

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

Shell Houston Open - One-and-Done

The Shell Houston Open is the last call before the Masters. With the GC of Houston being a pretty long track with four par 5s, we are tapping a bomber as our OAD pick for the week.


Rafa Cabrera Bello is the play this week. He finished fourth here a year ago and hasn't missed a cut since THE PLAYERS last year.


Let's hope for the best!

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

Puerto Rico Open - One-and-Done

The Puerto Rico Open kicks off opposite the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play on Thursday morning. That means it's time to select a one-and-done for the tournament.


I have a strategy I've long held to with opposite-field events. That is, don't overthink it. It's generally a pretty weak field. After all, if it weren't these guys would be in the WGC. Knowing that, it's a dart throw.


I tend to throw my darts at either young and promising pros looking for their first win, or veterans that are among the class of the field.


I'm taking a mix of both this week with Graham DeLaet.


Best of luck to all!

Tuesday, March 21, 2017

WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play

The WGC-Dell Match Play is set to kick off in Austin, Texas. For one-and-done gamers, this week is always a bit tricky.


The introduction of pool play prevents the bow out after one round, and allows a player a chance to come back from a loss to still advance to the 16-man bracket. Given the fickle nature of match play in general, I've usually used this as an opportunity to take a flier on a non-member of the PGA TOUR. In fact, if I hadn't already played Tyrell Hatton in Mexico a few weeks ago, I would be tempted to lean on him.


I would also be tempted to cast a vote Patrick Reed's way, but he's off the board from Kapalua.


After giving the brackets a look, and understanding potential matchups, I've decided to roll the dice with Phil Mickelson. He's getting to the point in his career where he's not a no-brainer play anywhere, but he also offers quite a bit of upside many places. He won a couple of matches here last year, so he offers the possibility of a big week.


While I might like a Dustin Johnson or Jason Day's chances to win a little more, I tend to shy away from elite OAD options in match play because they could run into a buzz saw one day and be out. In stroke play, they have four days to separate themselves instead of 18 holes or less.


Whatever your strategy, best of luck to all.

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Arnold Palmer Invitational - One-and-Done

The Arnold Palmer Invitational kicks off in less than 12 hours, and it's time to dub this week's one-and-done selection.


Sometimes there is an obvious answer when considering the OAD format. Sometimes it's complicated. I've found the trick is to recognize when an answer is obvious, and then not to overthink it.


This is one of those week's where the answer is obvious. It is Henrik Stenson. He's done everything except win at Bay Hill over the last few years, including a runner-up finish. He's fresh off a top 10 last week at the Copperhead Course, and has played at a consistently high level for a while.


Some might argue that it's worth holding out on the Swede for a major or WGC. Perhaps, but why? I get that the purses are bigger, but I also get that Stenson is over 40 now. Who's to say the injury bug doesn't bite him? Ask guys who held off on Rory two years ago how that worked out, and he's in his prime.


Play Stenson.


There are no guarantees, but if he doesn't score you a top five it's on him. Not you.