I can also be found at Rotoworld.com and on Twitter @RyanGolfBlogger.

Wednesday, November 18, 2015

RSM Classic - One-and-Done

The final tournament of the 2015 portion of the 2015-16 PGA TOUR season is finally here, and here is the one-and-done selection for the RSM Classic.

As bad as the picks have been for the first few tournaments of the new season, I'm ready to get this one turned in and hope the layoff provides me with some clarity in time for Kapalua!

With that, I'll take a shot with Kevin Kisner. 2015 has been an excellent year for the Kisner, and picking up his first victory after plenty of runner-ups would be the icing on the cake. He tied for fourth here last year and was runner-up (WGC-HSBC) in his last start. What's not to like? Well, other than that I've now cursed him.

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, November 11, 2015

OHL Classic at Mayakoba - One-and-Done

The OHL Classic at Mayakoba is just around the bend, and it's time to tab our one-and-done selection for the week. I'm snake bit right now, so follow me into the depths at your peril. 

In keeping with the trend of first-time winners on the PGA TOUR in 2015-16, it would be easy to look at Patrick Rodgers or Patton Kizzire. And with good reason. While I'm pegging a first-timer, it won't be one of the young guns. 

Instead, I'm playing the course history game and throwing a dart at Chris Stroud. He had three consecutive top fives before falling to a T23 in this event last year. Perhaps he's now on a downward trend, but this course clearly fits his game. 

Best of luck to all!

Tuesday, November 3, 2015

WGC-HSBC Champions and Sanderson Farms - One-and-Done

The WGC-HSBC Champions and Sanderson Farms Championship is set to kick off this week. Here are the one-and-done selections.

The WGC-HSBC Champions pick was actually quite easy this week. I wanted a combination of class and length, but I was struggling with the idea of burning Dustin Johnson or Bubba Watson this early in the season when their current form is a bit of a question mark. Thanks to Adam Scott popping off a runner-up finish in the CIMB Classic and looking at least average with a putter, the Aussie made my pick for me.

Let's go Aussie!

In the Sanderson Farms Championship, there is another obvious selection. Jason Bohn. Current form is as good as it can be (T3 and T2 in two starts), he's playing in the Southeast (University of Alabama product) and he tied for second here last year. You can't get any chalkier than that.

Best of luck to all!

Tuesday, October 27, 2015

CIMB Classic - One-and-Done

The PGA TOUR is in Malaysia for the CIMB Classic, and here is this week's one-and-done selection.

I did an excellent job of narrowing my focus down to Jason Bohn and Kevin Na last week, before ultimately going off the board and missing the cut with Will Wilcox. Should have stuck to my process and wrote down Bohn or Na, but so be it.

I'm not making the same mistake twice. I pretty much decided last year when Ryan Moore won his second CIMB Classic in a row that he would likely be my selection this year. Moore is known for being a bit of a course horse, and Kuala Lumpur seems to be one of those courses.

I'm very tempted to plug in Na, who is on a runner-up roll, but last week's lesson convinced me to stick with Moore. As an added kicker, Moore has already logged a top 10 in the new season.

Let's go, Ryan!

Wednesday, October 21, 2015

Shriners Hospitals for Children Open - One-and-Done

It's the second week of the 2015-16 PGA TOUR season, and I'm already frustrated with the one-and-done game. It's going to be a long season.

While Brooks Koepka looked like a layup for at least a top-20 finish, and a likely candidate for a top 10 or better, he barely made any money. So it goes.

I'm a bit like a poker player on tilt right now when it comes to this game, so following my lead may not be the best move. I've gone with a great deal of chalky picks (course history, current form and stats all match) over the last 12 months with much less success than what I deem to be acceptable, so I'm about to go off script for a bit.

Don't try this at home.

The chalky/smart picks this week are to go with either Jason Bohn or Kevin Na. Both played great last week and both have solid course history this week. If I followed my traditional line of thought, those two would be a coin flip for my pick

Instead, I'm running as far away from those two as possible and throwing caution to the wind.

I narrowed my choices to Emiliano Grillo and Will Wilcox. Grillo's won two in a row. He can't possibly make it three, can he? Wilcox is playing well everywhere and is (statistically) a better putter. Plus, Wilcox came through for me last season when I burned him in Alabama opposite the Open Championship.

Wilcox it is!!!

Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Frys.com Open - One-and-Done

Before we dive into the one-and-done selection for the Frys.com Open, I want to address one administrative item regarding the fall portion of the 2015-16 PGA TOUR season. For those that don't know, I've taken on the responsibility of being the columnist for the previews at Rotoworld for the fall portion of the season.

My Frys.com Open preview can be found here.

With that, I anticipate that this space will be used almost exclusively for my OAD selection until the Hyundai Tournament of Champions to kick off 2016.

Back to the matter at hand.

The long game when making a OAD selection for the Frys.com Open is probably to walk out of this tournament with a top 25, and hopefully a top 10. I am very hesitant to burn a high profile player this week, but there is one I just can't ignore.

Brooks Koepka enters this week off a runner-up finish (T2) in the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship and tied for eighth in this event last season. Form meets history.

I may regret burning him this early in the season when the PGA TOUR is in the heart of the season next summer, but so be it.

Let's go Brooks!

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

TOUR Championship - One-and-Done

The final event of the 2014-15 PGA TOUR season awaits at East Lake GC. Of course, it is the TOUR Championship. We are going to do things a little bit differently this week.

Rather than throwing up the usual power ranking and sorting out who sits second behind Jason Day, it's time to discuss strategies. Coincidentally, the top five in the current FedExCup standings would all be inside the top 10 of any decent power ranking. Sprinkle in Rory and a few others, and there you go.

About strategy. For all full-season gamers, one of three things is the case for you.

  1. You are either leading or are in a position you would like to maintain. 
  2. You are trailing, but within striking distance if your opponent slips up and you play well.
  3. You are toast.
Playing numerous games, I find myself in each of these three scenarios.

If you are in category 3, none of this matters. Throw in anybody you want. 

If you are in category 1, you need to play it safe. If you've got Jason Day available, he's a must. For games like Yahoo!, load the wagons with Day, Spieth, McIlroy, Stenson, etc, etc, and force your opponent make a mistake. If it's a game like the Golf Channel game, take Jason Day in Group 1 and stay chalky the rest of the way.

If you are in category 2, this is a tough week. You've played well enough to put yourself in the mix, but you now must "zig" where you usually "zag." You have to play the game backwards. You don't take Jason Day, rather you hope McIlroy or Stenson dominate. You take a flier on Daniel Berger staying hot, or a relaxed Bill Haas to take home his second TOUR Championship after nabbing the captain's pick. This is going to feel very uncomfortable, but you have no choice. I can't stress the following enough. YOU HAVE TO DO THE OPPOSITE OF WHAT YOU THINK THE LEADER WILL DO. A push is no good. Roll the dice.

Oh...and I'm taking Rory McIlroy as my one-and-done. Unfortunately, I'm in category 3 in this one. Toast.

It's been a fun 2014-15 season. Keep an eye on for me on Rotoworld for several upcoming articles over the next few weeks.

Best of luck to all!