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Monday, December 5, 2011

Cards Are Dealt!

After six long days at PGA West, 29 players (including 2 Nationwide Grads) finished inside the PGA Tour cut line that ended up at -8.  Here are a few observations and thoughts.
  • The biggest mover to earn a card was Nathan Green with a 66 on the Nicklaus Course. 
  • One golfer opposite the lead group for the final two rounds was able to earn a card by finishing on the Staduim Course, and that was Richard H. Lee shooting a 65/68 final two rounds.
  • A little off topic, but I hope that tournaments that give golfers like John Daly sponsors exemptions give some serious thought to giving those exemptions to the past champions that tried to help themselves in Q School.  Guys like David Duval, Lee Janzen, Rich Beem, Shaun Micheel and others who have made a healthy living could have sat back and hoped for sponsors exemptions, but instead tried to do something about it.  Scott McCarron finished T152 which does someone like him no good.  He had nothing to play for but pride the last few rounds, but he didn't get himself disqualified by hitting all of his golf balls in the water.
  • The final round weather conditions were not quite as bad as expected.
Here is the final leaderboard as can be found on http://www.pgatour.com/qschool/leaderboard/.  I will put their finishing position as well as where I had them slotted to finish in the final round as found in yesterday's post.
  • 1 - Brendon Todd - 3 to 8 range - Every round under par including a 68/68 final two rounds.  Well done.
  • 2 - Stephen Gangluff - Top 5 - Very steady week for an otherwise unproven player.  All six rounds were even par or better.
  • T3 - Bobby Gates - Missing by a shot - Snake bit no more, went low early in the final round and erased all drama in route to a final round 66.  I'm happy to say I missed this one.
  • T3 - Seung-yul Noh - 18-22 range - Rebounded with a final round 67.  Could be a sleeper in the mold of a Y.E. Yang on tour next year after a very solid week.
  • T5 - Tommy Biershenk - 8 to 12 - Life changing week for Biershenk who's seen moderate success on the Nationwide Tour over the past 15 years and won a ton on various mini tours.  
  • T5 - Vaughn Taylor - Top 5 - Aced his Q School final and should get back on track on the PGA Tour next year.
  • T5 - Jarrod Lyle - 7 to 15 range -  Back for another try at the PGA Tour in 2012.
  • T8 - Bob Estes - missing the cut - Big whiff on my part as Estes finished 69 67 to easily advance.
  • T8 - Brian Harmon - 12 to 15 range - Steady week for the soon to be Rookie.
  • T8 - Marco Dawson - Top 3 - Still advanced easily in regards to the number, but was all over the place in the final round.  Career journeyman back for another shot on the PGA Tour.
  • T11 - Sang-Moon Bae - no prediction - Recovered from a couple of rounds in the mid 70's to play his way through on the final day.
  • T11 - Kevin Kisner - advance - Great final round to easily skate through for an encore on the PGA Tour.
  • T13 - Roberto Castro - 20 to 25 - Finished higher than he did on this years Nationwide Tour 25 to improve his status and in all likelihood get into a few more West Coast Swing events.
  • T13 - Will McGirt - falling out - Glad to see McGirt reverse the course of most of his PGA Tour season by finishing the tournament with his second lowest round of the week.  Hopefully that trend carries over and he moves past just making cuts and begins contending on weekends.
  • T13 - Jeff Maggert - 12 to 18 range - Steady all week and played to the level of the courses.
  • T13 - Charlie Beljan - 12 to 17 range - Soon to be Rookie put together a solid week. 
  • T13 - Harris English - Top 5 - Surprisingly shaky finish, but potentially big things ahead.
  • T18 - Patrick Sheehan - no prediction - Strong final round to move into the Top 25.
  • T18 - Scott Dunlap - likely to advance from outside - One of the 5 I thought had a chance to move up into the number came through.
  • T18 - Greg Owen - See Scott Dunlap
  • T18 - Daniel Summerhays - 18 to 22 - He performed exactly as expected.
  • T18 - Will Claxton - 12 to 15 - Probably a good thing this ended when it did because the leader for most of the tournament was fading fast.
  • T18 - Edward Loar - Top 10 - He was stuck in neutral the final round, but still advanced with a little room to spare.
  • T24 - Mark Anderson - see Scott Dunlap and Greg Owen - I ended up 3 for 5 with my 5 likely to move inside the number!
  • T24 - Alexandre Rocha - 10 to 15 - Not as well as I thought, but good enough.
  • T24 - Richard H. Lee - no prediction - There's usually one ever year that advances from the opposite course rotation and this year it was Lee.
  • T27 - John Huh - no prediction - I know nothing about him but finishing 69 / 68 is impressive.
  • T27 - Nathan Green - no prediction - Started the round T63 and moved all the way up.
  • T27 - Colt Knost - 18 to 22 - Made a mess of 18 with a double bogey, but lived to fight another day.
I also correctly predicted Derek Fathaeur, Shawn Stefani, Billy Hurley III, Reid Edstrom falling out of the Top 25, but missed on Hudson Swofford, Matt Jones, and Scott Parel.

Later in the week I will have my predictions for how these players will fare on Tour in 2012. 

Congrats to all and best of luck on Tour in 2012!

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