- 5/1 - Tiger Woods - No surprise TW leads off the betting. 5/1 is generally not the best of odds, but if you think about it he has won more than half of the playings of this event. In a weird way, it might be a good price considering how well he's played at Bay Hill and Muirfield Village where his record was also impeccable. Point is, he's found ways to win on courses where the history is good, and there's none better than Firestone.
- 14/1 - Luke Donald - I mentioned yesterday that I was surprised to see him outside of the top 100 in GIR on TOUR. He was T2 last year at Firestone when he led the field in GIR. What gives? His form is solid, but with his lack of length he'll have to be deadly accurate off the tee and with the irons, as well as the putter.
- 16/1 - Adam Scott- I could see Scott head in any number of directions after his British Open finish. I'm leaning towards a solid, top 15ish, week for the Aussie but it would be a very tall task to win.
- 18/1- Rory McIlroy & Lee Westwood - I'm gun shy on McIlroy, but I feel okay about Westwood's chances. Let's face it; the guy who wins this event is almost always a major championship caliber player and both of these guys fit. I need to see more out of McIlroy at this price, but if Westwood has a decent week with the putter.......
- 25/1 - Hunter Mahan - There's plenty going for and against Mahan. His history here overall is solid, bordering on excellent. Problem is, he didn't have a great 2011 at Firestone and his form isn't the best either. That said, he's probably about as likely to win as McIlroy and Scott at a better price.
- 28/1 - Jason Dufner/Zach Johnson & Bubba Watson - Johnson is Luke Donald at half the price. Watson is a real possibility, as he leads the TOUR in GIR and distance. He's also got a couple of top 25s here. Dufner fits the course tee to green, but his SGP is concerning, as is his lack of history.
- 33/1 - Dustin Johnson and Rickie Fowler - Fowler was T2 last year and Johnson is a good fit for this 7400 yard par 70.
- 66/1 - Keegan Bradley and Martin Laird - Bradley played well here last year (T15) in his first trip and is showing some form of late. Laird is a sneaky pick here, with a T11 in '11 and a T16 in '10.
- 80/1 - Peter Hanson & Retief Goosen - Goosen has top 10s in two of his last three starts and tied for third here in 2010. Hanson has a T21 and an 8th in his last two starts at Firesteone.
- 8/1 - Padraig Harrington - I get this, but I"m not buying. He's the class of the field, but he wins on hard golf courses. Not a Modified Stableford shootout. Stay away.
- 18/1 - Seung-yul Noh - I'm good with this one. He's crazy long and in great form. I'll take my chances with that.
- 20/1 - J.B. Holmes - I'm loving this one too. He's another bomber who should feast on the par 5s and he knows how to win.
- 22/1- John Rollins & John Merrick - This is the kind of tournament that has John Rollins written all over it. He tends to show up (and occasionally win) tournaments that the big boys skip. I'm not crazy about Merrick's value.
- 25/1 - Pat Perez, Chris Kirk and Troy Matteson - I love all three of these too. You've got a streaky Pat Perez that could catch fire, and the two hottest players coming into this event in Kirk and Matteson.
- 40/1 - Billy Horschel - He's going to win sometime, so why not this week. his form is as good as it has ever been.
- 50/1 - Chris Couch - I like a guy like Couch. He's a bomber who can play the par 5s, but he gets into trouble and appears to mail it in when things go bad. That's why this scoring format could be perfect for him. One eagle will erase a bunch of blemishes.
- 100/1 - John Daly - This format has to be made for him, right? He's made seven of nine cuts, so this isn't out of left field.
- 175/1 - Richard H. Lee - He hits a lot of quality shots in a round. I followed him pretty closely in Canada and he had a decent week that was close to being a really good week if he putted better from six to 12 feet. You never know.