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Friday, November 30, 2012

Q School Round 3

The third round of Q School was much like the two prior. Plenty of low scores with the number to gain PGA TOUR status surging forward instead of inching. After three rounds, Meen Whee Kim continues to hold the lead and his 5-under 67 extends his 54-hole total to 18-under 198. Robert Karlsson is hot on the chase at 17-under, with Edward Loar a stroke higher than that.

At the half-way point, here's what we think we know:
  • The number to earn a PGA TOUR card was 4-under through one round, 7-under after two and now sits at 10-under. While I don't believe that it will take 20-under to nab a card, it is becoming increasingly likely that the number will be around 15-under. That takes into account that the lead group still has two rounds at the more intimidating Stadium Course.
  • For all players, it is now time to re-evaluate the goals for the week. Simply put, if you are over par, about the best you can hope for is a strong Web.com Tour number. The current number for "full status" on the Web.com Tour is 5-under. All that really guarantees is unlimited starts before the first reshuffle.
  • At the time of this post, nobody new has withdrawn; leaving D.J. Trahan as the lone W/D. It's probably time for Scott Brown to do the same, given his conditional status.
  • The cream is rising. I mentioned Karlsson as currently occupying second place, but others are looking great for a TOUR card. Among them, Billy Horschel and Vaughn Taylor are T4, Kyle Reifers and Kris Blanks are T7, Heath Slocum, Ross Fisher and Camilo Villegas are T9. There are others of note inside the top 25, but it's hard to imagine the scenario where any of these guys drop out of the picture given their starts and pedigree.
  • 8-under earned a card last year. It is currently T44 with 54 holes to go.
  • Worth watching, the bottom of the field plays the traditionally easier Nicklaus Course tomorrow. Keep an eye out for a few of those guys posting deep numbers to at least get into the picture. Perhaps the most important thing about tomorrow is making sure you end up on the course rotation with the lead group to allow yourself the opportunity to play the same course at the same time as those in the lead. It always seems like there's one guy who earns a card from the opposite course on the final day; but never more than that.
Here's to a great fourth round!

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