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Saturday, June 29, 2013

AT&T National - Round 3

We have a four-way tie atop the AT&T National at Congressional with 18 holes left to settle it. As I stepped away and thought about it, the thought occurred that this tournament really hasn't followed the typical Congressional script of identifying a thoroughbred champion. But it still could happen.

Here are a few thoughts:
  • Bill Haas, James Driscoll, Andres Romero and Roberto Castro share the lead at 7-under. These are all solid players with many strong years ahead of them, but this is more of the leaderboard we expect to see at next week's Greenbrier.
  • Congressional identified Ernie Els in the 1997 U.S. Open and Rory McIlroy in 2011. It's seen Tiger Woods, K.J. Choi and Anthony Kim hoist the hardware. If you go back to the Kemper Open, we see names like Freddie Couples, Greg Normal, Craig Stadler and Sergio Garcia win.
  • When you consider that history, we should expect to see Bill Haas seperate himself and win for the fifth time on TOUR, or Brandt Snedeker come from three back to win. Maybe 2012 European Ryder Cupper Nicolas Colsaerts go low and steal it. McIlroy won his first major at Congressional, so maybe Jordan Spieth wins his first of many here?
  • Except I get the feeling we may be headed for something different. Of the four in the lead, Driscoll may have been the least nervy. Jason Kokrak seems like a legitimate threat. It's hard to see Tom Gillis and Charlie Wi going low two days in a row. 
  • I'm sticking with Snedeker, Hoffman, DeLaet and Day. The only real decision to make here was Sneds or Haas, and Sneds seems much more likely to go low in a finale trying to come from behind.

Best of luck!

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