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Monday, August 25, 2014

Deutsche Bank Championship - Power Ranking

As we dive deeper into our preparation for the Deutsche Bank Championship, let's take a gander at this week's Power Ranking. I encourage you to flip back to yesterday's Preview for more information on the history of this tournament, as well as the lay of the land at TPC Boston.

It's worth mentioning, PGATOUR.com rolled out two new metrics this week. They are Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and Strokes Gained: Total.Rather than try and explain it all, I recommend going to PGATOUR.com and reading the article on the new measurements. I took a look at Strokes Gained: Total for this week.

Here we go!

  1. Rory McIlroy - Was due for a letdown after three consecutive wins, settling for a T22 at The Barclays last week. Returns to TPC Boston, where he was the winner in 2012. Expect him to begin another big run leading up to the Ryder Cup.
  2. Adam Scott - He's made each of his nine cuts, with five top 10s, and owns a win and a runner-up at TPC Boston. Enters this week off back-to-back T15s at the PGA Championship and The Barclays. Ranked 1st in Par 5 Scoring Average, 2nd in Par Breakers, 3rd in Par 4 Scoring Average, 4th in Strokes Gained: Total (SGT) and 10th in Ball-Striking.
  3. Jim Furyk - Arguably the most consistent player on the PGA TOUR the last few months, went T15-T5-8 in his last three starts and hasn't missed a cut at TPC Boston. Has five top 25s and three top 10s in the DBC.
  4. Matt Kuchar - A T4-T12-T5 run in his last three PGA TOUR starts trend well into this event, as does his T4 at TPC Boston last year. He's first in Par 4 Scoring average on the PGA TOUR and 3rd in SGT.
  5. Hunter Mahan - Tough to see him going back-to-back, but his T15-T7-Win trend is impossible to overlook. He's 8/11 at TPC Boston, with a T8-T39-T13 in his last three trips. He's been hot with the irons lately, which generally is a lead indicator for success in his case. 
  6. Rickie Fowler - His course history isn't great, but I don't think he's finished outside the top 10 since Tiger and Sean Foley last had a beer together. 
  7. Henrik Stenson - The defending champ enters the week 66th in the FedExCup standings, so he can't afford to lay an egg if he hopes to advance to the BMW Championship and ultimately defend his FEC crown. Tied for 38th at The Barclays last week after a near miss (T3) at the PGA Championship. Expect a top 25, if not a top 10.
  8. Jason Day - His health is continually a concern, but his T15 at the PGA and T2 last week are about as good of a trend as you will find. Had a nice run at TPC Boston with a T2 in '10 and a T3 in '11. 
  9. Bill Haas - If the putter behaves, he will make a run this week. Has a T2 and a T15 in his last two starts at the Wyndham Championship and The Barclays. Has one top 10 and three other top 25s in four trips to the DBC.
  10. Jordan Spieth - While he's been quiet the last month, he ended The Barclays with a final-round 67 to steal a T22 and returns to TPC Boston where he tied for fourth a year ago. Just like Mahan snapped his winless streak last week, it's very possible Spieth could do the same this week.
  11. Patrick Reed - His T70 at last year's DBC aside, he's been trending well (T58-T24-T9) leading up to this week. Considering it will likely take something in the neighborhood of 20-under to win, he's the type of player that could get really hot and throw up that type of number.
  12. Brandt Snedeker - Plenty of pressure on his shoulders this week to make a final impression on Tom Watson, he buckled with a missed cut last week following his T13-T5 run leading up to The Barclays. Has recent success at TPC Boston, with a T5-T3-6-T47 in his last three ventures to TPB Boston.
Next 5 (alphabetical): Keegan Bradley, Graham DeLaet, Phil Mickelson, Charl Schwartzel and Bubba Watson.

We will be back to discuss the OAD tomorrow. Until then, best of luck!

2 comments:

  1. Would you burn Rory's last start here in Yahoo?

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    Replies
    1. I would start with him on the bench to make sure he doesn't have a first round like he did last week. If he gets off to a hot start, I would probably go ahead and burn it the rest of the way.

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