- Rory McIlroy - If you read any list this week that doesn't start with Rory, stop reading that list immediately and never go back.
- Justin Rose - Not quite a 1A to McIlroy, but he's the clear number 2. Top fives in each of his last three trips to PGA National and his class is permanent.
- Sergio Garcia - Choked away the Northern Trust Open last week, tying for fourth and missing out on the playoff by a stroke, but his T8 in The Honda Classic last year offers a nice spot for a rebound this week.
- Paul Casey - Trends converge nicely, as he lost in a playoff last week and now turns his attention to a venue where he has two top-12 finishes in three tries including a T12 last year.
- Keegan Bradley - Another example of form meeting history, Bradley has gone T12-T4-T12 in his last three trips to PGA National and enters off a T4 last week.
- Lee Westwood - A pair of top 10s overseas to start 2015 mesh nicely with his five-for-five / three top 10 record at PGA National.
- Graeme McDowell - Record overseas to start 2015 isn't quite as good as Westwoods, but his history is very similar. Went T6-T9-T9-T46 in his last four trips to The Honda Classic.
- Brooks Koepka - Took two weeks off after a T41 hangover performance following his Waste Management Phoenix Open win. He tied for 33rd here last year, but his arc is peaking fast.
- Dustin Johnson - While limited, his course history here is below his standards. That said, a T4-P2 run the last two weeks demands respect.
- Graham DeLaet - Another trendy player, the Canuck has top 10s in two of his last three starts this season and tied for ninth at the Honda last year.
- Patrick Reed
- Nick Watney
- Sang-moon Bae
- Ryan Palmer
- Harris English
- Will MacKenzie
- Chris Kirk
- Russell Knox
- Russell Henley
- Freddie Jacobson
As for the one-and-done, this week is tricky. It would seem foolish to burn McIlroy on his first week on U.S. soil, but I won't try and talk you out of it if your heart is set on it. Same goes for Rose.
Going straight from my power ranking, I narrowed my focus to the 3-6 range. That is, Garcia, Casey, Bradley and Westwood. It gets much easier considering I've already used Garcia and Westwood. That leaves Casey and Bradley.
Casey is the proper play in this scenario, and he also matches my gut instinct. Bradley is a nice save for several stops later in the year anyway, where Casey is the perfect guy to burn when his form is on point. His P2 last week and T12 at The Honda Classic check out.
Best of luck to all!