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Tuesday, March 3, 2015

WGC-Cadillac Championship - Power Ranking and One-and-Done

The WGC-Cadillac Championship tees off on Thursday, and here is this week's power ranking. I encourage you to go back to the Preview on Sunday for additional information on Doral and this tournament's history.

  1. Bubba Watson - Owner of two runner-up finishes in this event and has been a top-15 machine of late. A great example of form meeting history. It's hard to find a reason not to invest. 
  2. Dustin Johnson - A missed cut at The Honda Classic doesn't erase a T4 / P2 run in the two weeks leading up to it. Doral sets up well for bombers, and DJ is no exception. He has two top-four finishes in his last four trips to the Blue Monster.
  3. Rory McIlroy - Still an elite option by any measure, but the Honda reminds us that he may need to ease his way into form in the U.S. He has three top 10s in his last four starts at Doral, but last year was his worst. A T25. 
  4. Jason Day - This is an example of giving a nod to current form over course history. It's a bit of a head scratcher as to why he hasn't performed better here in the past. Augusta National and Doral tend to identify the same players, and he's played very well at the Masters.
  5. Jordan Spieth - A T34 last year was a nice warm up in his first WGC-Cadillac, and his T7-T4 run in his last two 2015 starts have him primed for a big week.
  6. Patrick Reed - The defending champ is sometimes hard to peg on a weekly basis, but a T7 at The Honda Classic last week has the stars aligning.
  7. Matt Kuchar - It's impossible to argue ranking him seventh on any list at any course. Four top-13 finishes in his last five trips to Doral and has been solid to start the 2014-15 season.
  8. Paul Casey - Displaying arguably the best form of his PGA TOUR career with a P2-T3 punch at the Northern Trust Open and Honda Classic the last two week. Has three top 10s in nine tries in this tournament, but the form is what matters here.
  9. Adam Scott - Makes his 2015 debut as a new father. Went T2-5-T2 in his last three starts (overseas) to end 2014. 
  10. Jamie Donaldson - Introduced himself to a broader golf audience with his T2 in this event last year and is fresh off a sixth-place finish at the Honda last week.
  11. Sergio Garcia
  12. Hideki Matsuyama
  13. Phil Mickelson
  14. Henrik Stenson
  15. Justin Rose
  16. Graeme McDowell
  17. Charl Schwartzel
  18. Jim Furyk
  19. J.B. Holmes
  20. Joost Luiten
One-and-Done

A WGC is not a time to "save" a start for anyone. The field is strong, there is no cut and the purse is big. I've had my eye on Bubba Watson for this start for quite some time, and I see no reason to move off that plan. He's the play.

We will return soon with a preview / power ranking / one-and-done for the Puerto Rico Open.

Best of luck to all!

9 comments:

  1. Does anyone know the status of Tim Clark? Last update I can find is from January 21st when he WD'd from the Humana with a 'tender elbow'.

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    1. Last I've seen as well. His Rotoworld page will be updated promptly if something becomes public.

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  2. I'm surprised you're not saving Bubba for the Masters. Do you have someone else in mind there? Do you have DJ left? If you do, would you burn him here?

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    1. Just don't see Bubba winning 3 of 4 Masters. I have my eye on Jason Day, to be honest.

      As for DJ, I would seriously consider it. There are a lot of places where he is a good play, and this is one of them.

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  3. Also, Koepka is a notable absence here. What gives sully??? ��

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    1. Feels like he's on the post-win hangover if you look at his last two finishes. I think he snaps out of it soon, but it's a tough ask in a field this deep.

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  4. I noticed on rotoworld that you have Casey in your yahoo lineup instead of Kuchar. Just curious why, since you ranked Kuchar ahead of Casey. I've actually been debating back and forth on the two guys and was wondering your thoughts. Thanks!

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    1. The difference is marginal when you get that far down the power ranking. In Yahoo! I tend to go with guys that I think have a shot at bonus points (top 3). While I think Kuchar is more likely to finish a little higher than Casey, I think Casey is a little more likely to have a top 3 than Kuchar, if that makes sense. I don't think that there is a wrong call between those two. It's up to them as to who meets / exceed expectations and who doesn't.

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