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Monday, June 8, 2015

FedEx St. Jude Classic - Power Ranking and One-and-Done

With the U.S. Open Sectional Qualifiers now complete, the FedEx St. Jude Classic has our undivided attention. Here is this week's power ranking and one-and-done selection.

Before we dive in, here are several things to consider. There have already been three notable WDs that would have been safely inside the top 10 of this ranking. They are Paul Casey, Robert Streb and Brendon Todd. It would not be a shock to see several other WDs from players that qualified for the U.S. Open earlier this evening in preparation for the U.S. Open next week. That means it is important to keep a constant watch on field changes to make sure one of your picks doesn't sneak out of the field.

Here we go:

  1. Dustin Johnson - Clear number one on all levels, he won here in 2012, is playing solid golf and is the class of the field. Enough said.
  2. Billy Horschel - While he isn't white hot yet, he's consistently racking up top 20s and showing signs of a big week. He's gone T10 and T6 here in his last two trips. The combination of a very weak field, solid play and solid course history make him hard to ignore.
  3. Ryan Palmer - The third perfect storm of class, form and history, enters off a T10 and has two top fives in his last three trips to TPC Southwind. 
  4. Webb Simpson - Feels a bit under the radar despite a T2 at Quail Hollow and a T3 here last year, but shouldn't be. We all know what Webber can do on courses where his history is solid.
  5. Phil Mickelson - Dramatic drop off between the fourth and fifth slots this week, Mickelson has been hit-or-miss for most of the last three years. You don't have to look hard at his recent course history and his recent current form to find top fives, though he's anything but a sure bet.
  6. Harris English - English failed to successfully navigate his U.S. Open qualifier and has been a bit all over the place this season. Still, he's a past winner of this event. True to form, he followed that up with a missed cut in his title defense. Who knows.
  7. Brooks Koepka - Tied for 19th in Memphis last year and his campaign this season speaks for itself. As good a pick as any this week.
  8. Jason Bohn - Great statistical fit with back-to-back top 25s in this event and a T2 recently at Colonial. 
  9. Brian Harman - After missing the cut in his first two trips to Memphis, he responded with a T6 last year. Recent play has been better than the majority of 2015.
  10. Shawn Stefani - Has a top 10 in two starts at TPC Southwind and top 20s in two of his last three PGA TOUR starts. Solid trends for a guy who is flirting with a breakthrough sooner rather than later.
  11. Patrick Rodgers
  12. Jeff Overton
  13. Zac Blair
  14. Boo Weekley
  15. William McGirt
  16. Charles Howell III
  17. Chesson Hadley
  18. Jamie Donaldson
  19. John Merrick
  20. Camilo Villegas
One-and-done

I rolled the dice last week and lost, but that's been the theme lately. I had Justin Rose available and he was the highest player on my power ranking available (second, I believe) but I decided to go in another direction to mix it up. 

Horschel is sitting in that exact same spot this week, and I'm not making the same mistake two weeks in a row. I'm rolling with Billy Ho.

Given my recent history in this particular format, consider yourselves warned!

Best of luck to all!

3 comments:

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  2. George McNeill seems to be a glaring omission. Why are you down on him this week?

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