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Tuesday, July 7, 2015

John Deere Classic - Power Ranking and One-and-Done

The final PGA TOUR tune up before the Open Championship is set to take place at the John Deere Classic, and here is a power ranking and one-and-done selection to complete our work.

I encourage you to refer to Sunday's preview for additional information on this tournament and on TPC Deere Run.

Off we go...

  1. Jordan Spieth - Winner in 2013 and a top 10 last year in his title defense, as if I even needed to explain myself on this one.
  2. Zach Johnson - The clear number two this week, ZJ has feasted at the Deere over the past six years especially. He's cracked the top three in five of the last six including a win. Current form leaves very little room for doubt.
  3. Kevin Kisner - Had terrible course history at The Greenbrier Classic and it didn't matter, as he lost in a playoff. He tied for 20th here in his last trip, so all systems are a go.
  4. Ryan Moore - Above average class, above average course history and lukewarm current form are easily enough to crack the power ranking in an event like this that lacks numerous top-end options.
  5. Tony Finau - Continues to impress on a weekly basis. His current run reminds me of what Will MacKenzie put together in the Winter / early Spring of 2014. 
  6. Steve Stricker - He owns this course, but current form is the obvious issue. If there were ever a week where he would pull it together, this would be it. Freddie Couples has Augusta National and Strick has Deere Run.
  7. Justin Thomas - With nine holes remaining at The Greenbrier Classic, he looked like the winner. Totally collapsed on the back nine, but I could certainly see a Kyle Stanley-in-Phoenix like bounce back this week. Missed the cut here in 2013, but that's hardly relevant.
  8. Jason Bohn - He's 6/9 with four top 25s at this venue and is playing well of late. Had the best statistical breakdown of everyone I evaluated as it relates to TPC Deere Run (Zach Johnson was second and Jordan Spieth was third). 
  9. Harris English - We're wading into a territory where we have a lot of "B/B-" options, and English leads off that group. Cracked the top 25 in two of his last three starts leading up to this and tied for 15th in one of his two trips to the JDC. Tends to disappoint, though.
  10. David Hearn - Lost in a playoff with Jordan Spieth in Zach Johnson in 2013 at the JDC and experienced a similar fate to Danny Lee last week. Form meets history.
  11. Brian Harman
  12. Shawn Stefani
  13. Robert Streb
  14. Steven Bowditch
  15. Chad Collins
  16. Chris Stroud
  17. Patrick Rodgers
  18. Kevin Streelman
  19. Tim Clark
  20. Brendon de Jonge

One-and-done

I was relatively pleased with the T13 by Steven Bowditch last week, but then again I didn't pull the trigger on an available Kevin Kisner. I'm not going to make that mistake this week. Kisner it is!

On a side note, this feels like THE PLAYERS when I felt like the only mistake as it related to Jordan Spieth was not playing him. That clearly didn't work.

Come on, Kis! 

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