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Tuesday, July 21, 2015

RBC Canadian Open - Power Rankings and One-and-done

The PGA TOUR continues the global portion of the summer schedule with the RBC Canadian Open, and here is this week's power ranking and one-and-done to complete our research.

I expect that the question(s) will come up in regards to the Open Championship Monday finish and how that may play out this week. There are two reasons why my power rankings are populated by guys who played in Scotland. The first is that Glen Abbey is a familiar course in the rotations, so most have seen it before. The second is that class is permanent, and this field is lacking in class / depth. 

With that out of the way, here we go!
  1. Matt Kuchar - This is his kind of tournament. Digging into the details, he tied for second here in 2013 and tied for fourth in this tournament in 2014. Clearly he gets over the travel hurdles quickly and course history fits. He didn't impress at St. Andrews, but he's a known commodity at this point. I could make a case for three different players in the top spot, but he gets the nod.
  2. Jason Day - Day certainly checks the current form box, but his history at Glen Abbey is below his standards. Granted that history came in 2008 and 2009. The biggest reason I have a hard time putting him number one is the constant unknown regarding his health. He's not Louis Oosthuizen, but he's not Danny Lee either. 
  3. Bubba Watson - Bubba sucked at the Old Course, but bad weather ain't exactly a great fit for Bubba's temperament. He tied for 21st here in his last visit, so Glen Abbey is a decent fit, but he carries a bit of risk with him this week relative to the guys above him.
  4. Brooks Koepka - A rookie at Glen Abbey, but his current form is more than worthy. He should be able to decimate the par 5s, so it comes down to his ability to tame the par 4s.
  5. Hunter Mahan - This is sort of one of those "golfing gods" situations. Had to WD with the lead here in 2013 for the birth of his first child and had a T4 at Glen Abbey way back in 2004. Current form is well below his standards, but this is the perfect place for him to get back on track.
  6. Jim Furyk - For starters, why not? Has a couple of top 15s at this venue and is certainly among the class of the field. Current form is not the best and statistical fit is a bit off, but class is permanent.
  7. Luke Donald - He still scares me a bit, but seems to have found his groove in the last two starts. Much like Mahan, he's a prospect to buy that could be on an upswing.
  8. Greg Owen - One of the least likely inclusions in a power ranking if you asked me at the beginning of the year, but he's impossible to ignore this week. Tied for 12th here in 2013 and shared 20th at the Open. His GIR from other than the fairway and par 4 scoring average are both top 20.
  9. Andres Romero - He's been solid in this event no matter the rota, with his T21 at Glen Abbey in 2013 actually counting as his worst showing. Has back-to-back top 10s entering this week and a three top 15s in his last four starts. Yes please.
  10. Scott Piercy - A prime candidate for a post-win letdown, but he can't drop any lower than this on a credible power ranking.
  11. J.B. Holmes
  12. Ryan Palmer 
  13. Tony Finau
  14. Aaron Baddeley
  15. Charley Hoffman
  16. Rory Sabbatini
  17. Ollie Schniederjans
  18. Steve Stricker
  19. Scott Langley
  20. Pat Perez

Not sure I can do much better than a pair of runner-up finishes last week (Oosty and Wilcox), but we'll do our best. I'm rolling the dice with the class and course history offered by Hunter Mahan this week. My hope is that some of my competition will be scared off by his current form and it will backfire. 

Best of luck to all!

1 comment:

  1. Why is everyone placing Tony Finua so low. He should play par 5s well and Jack N course should fit fade and ample off tee. Am i way off on thinking he can do well. Finally got break after long run of tourneys in a row??????