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Sunday, August 30, 2015

Deutsche Bank Championship - Preview

The second leg of the FedExCup Playoffs is upon us, and TPC Boston is the stage for the Deutsche Bank Championship. Here is a preview to get you off and running with your research.

The top 100 players in the FedExCup standings have punched their ticket. That includes Chris Kirk, who returns to defend his 2014 title.

TPC Boston is a par-71 layout, topping out at 7,242 yards. The four par 3s, three par 5s, and 11 par 4s meet the expectations of the established par value, so no funky surprises lurk on the card. The fairways and greens are Bentgrass, so Bermuda and Poa Annua experts have no advantage.

Here is a list of winners and runners-up since 2005:

  • 2005 - Winner - Olin Browne (14-under 270) over Jason Bohn (271)
  • 2006 - Winner - Tiger Woods (268) over Vijay Singh (270)
  • 2007 - Winner - Phil Mickelson (268) over Arron Oberholser, Brett Wetterich and Tiger Woods (270)
  • 2008 - Winner - Vijay Singh (262) over Mike Weir (267)
  • 2009 - Winner - Steve Stricker (267) over Jason Dufner and Scott Verplank (268)
  • 2010 - Winner - Charley Hoffman (262) over Jason Day, Luke Donald and Geoff Ogilvy (267)
  • 2011 - Winner - Webb Simpson (269) over Chez Reavie in a playoff
  • 2012 - Winner - Rory McIlroy (264) over Louis Oosthuizen (265) 
  • 2013 - Winner - Henrik Stenson (262) over Steve Stricker (264)
  • 2014 - Winner - Chris Kirk (269) over Russell Henley, Billy Horschel and Geoff Ogilvy (271)

For those preparing a statistical deep dive, it’s wise to factor in par 4 scoring average since there are 11. While exceptions can be found, history says players who are long off the tee have held an advantage versus those who are not. Ball-striking appears to take precedent over the flat stick, so consider strokes gained: tee-to-green over putting.

We will return later in the week with a power ranking and a one-and-done selection. Until then, happy research!

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