As mentioned in yesterday's preview, the hard look falls on current form and course history this week. One thing that began to stick out during the research process was how irrelevant bombing it off the tee proved to be in 2013 at Conway Farms. It wasn't just that Zach Johnson won. Rather it was that many of the notorious bombers didn't make a lot of noise.
With that in mind, here we go:
- Jason Day - His T12 at TPC Boston stopped his winning streak at two, and he returns to the site of a T4 in 2013. His week off came at a good time, as he began to look like he was running on fumes late in the Deutsche Bank.
- Jim Furyk - Love his trend (T30-T11-T4 last three) and it matches very well with his third-place finish at this venue in 2013.
- Henrik Stenson - Back-to-back runner-up finishes is extremely impressive and overshadows a T33 here in 2013.
- Zach Johnson - Winner in 2013 has enjoyed a great last two months. Nothing should be a surprise this week with ZJ.
- Jordan Spieth - Class is permanent. Forget the back-to-back missed cuts. Tied for 16th here in 2013.
- Rickie Fowler - Winner at TPC Boston last Monday renders his T39 in 2013 at Conway Farms rather unimportant.
- Rory McIlroy - Not embarrassing himself, but not making a bunch of noise since coming back from the ankle injury either. If the putter clicks, the rest could quickly fall into place.
- Matt Jones - Another case of form meeting history. Tied for fourth last week and shared eighth in this event back in 2013.
- Daniel Summerhays - Two things jump off the page. First is that he's posted back-to-back top 10s. Second is that he is not a bomber, but in great form. As a bonus, he tied for 28th here in 2013.
- Kevin Kisner - Might have felt slightly snubbed by not getting a Presidents Cup nod. Enters on a string of back-to-back top 20s.
- Russell Knox - A carbon copy of Kisner, with a MC-T20-T12 run entering this week. The only difference is the lack of a snub. Summerhays, Kisner and Knox are all guys that are expected to break through with a PGA TOUR win sooner rather than later.
- Matt Kuchar - Two top 10s in his last three starts and a top 25 at Conway Farms in 2013.
- Bubba Watson - We'll make it a baker's dozen with the bomber.
I'm taking Daniel Summerhays. There are other options available that might be a bit safer (Matt Jones and Robert Streb jump to mind), but I have one of those dangerous feelings. And by dangerous, I mean a danger to myself. I sort of see him as this year's Morgan Hoffmann.
Check out Rotoworld's Playing the Tips tomorrow for my Yahoo! and Golf Channel Picks.
Best of luck to all this week!