I can also be found at Rotoworld.com and on Twitter @RyanGolfBlogger.

Monday, November 14, 2016

RSM Classic - One-and-Done

The RMS Classic ends the 2016 portion of the 2016-17 PGA TOUR schedule, which means one more one-and-done before a bit of a layoff.

I'm going chalky this week, taking a past champion in Chris Kirk who enters on the heels of three top 10s in his last four PGA TOUR starts.

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, November 9, 2016

OHL Classic at Mayakoba - One-and-Done

The OHL Classic at Mayakoba returns to El Camaleon GC. For this week's one-and-done selection, I'm taking a guy entering this week on the heels of back-to-back top 10s and who also finished T8 in this event last year. That would be Keegan Bradley.

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, November 2, 2016

Shriners Hospitals for Children Open - One-and-Done

This week's one-and-done pick for the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open is a local favorite. Nope, not Ryan Moore. We already used him. It's Scott Piercy's turn!

My apologies for no picks last week. In my game I played Patton Kizzire in Mississippi and Russell Knox in the WGC-HSBC. I was out of the country and internet was a little hard to come by.


Tuesday, October 18, 2016

CIMB Classic - One-and-Done

The CIMB Classic returns to TPC Kuala Lumpur, with Justin Thomas serving as the defending champion. It's a bit laughable that the second event of the PGA TOUR season offers a dilemma in the one-and-done format, but such is the case. At least for me.

Part of being successful in OADs is deciding when to stick to the plan and when to deviate. Sticking to the plan would call for Ryan Moore this week. He's a two-time winner here, played great in the FedExCup Playoffs and enjoyed a solid Ryder cup debut.

Altering the plan would call for Paul Casey. He's finished inside the top four in each of his last four starts, but offers a pretty bland course history. Simply put, he's too hot to ignore.

So what do we do?

It's early in the season. While my historic flaw in OADs is favoring course history over current form, Moore's form is also extremely good. In fact, it's good enough to stick to the plan. Moore it is!

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Safeway Open - One-and-Done

The Safeway Open is upon us, as the 2016-17 PGA TOUR season kicks off in Napa, California. That means it is time for the first one-and-done of the new season.

I set my sights on Kevin Na from the outset. While this is just the third time Silverado Resort & Spa (North) has severed as the host course, Na was the playoff loser in here last year. By all standards, Na would be a very safe pick to start things off. He's also a guy that I wouldn't necessarily miss in big-money events later in the season.

The other idea was to take a hot up-and-comer off the Web.com Tour and hope that they could ride the wave before they realize they aren't still on the Web.com Tour. Grayson Murray fits that bill.

When I checked the weather, it looks like the best scoring conditions of the week could be Thursday morning, with wind picking up Thursday PM and a heavy chance of rain on Friday and Saturday. That proved to be the tie breaker for me, as I'll take a trusted veteran who has a Thursday AM tee time and the patience to handle potential weather delays and other issues.

Let's go, Kevin Na!

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

TOUR Championship - One-and-Done

The final event of the 2015-16 PGA TOUR season is upon us, as the TOUR Championship is ready to kick off. With that, it's time to declare the final OAD of the season.

I was torn between two very good options. Daniel Berger and Emiliano Grillo. I wanted to go Berger, but I'm concerned the added pressure of trying to earn the last Ryder Cup spot may be a negative. With that, I'm hoping Grillo wins both the first and the last events of the season!

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, September 7, 2016

BMW Championship - One-and-Done

At this point in the season, strategy is king in the one-and-done format. The BMW Championship represents the next-to-last event of the season. For many, options are limited.

Understanding the history of Crooked Stick as a venue has shaped my strategy. John Daly won the 1991 PGA Championship and Rory McIlroy claimed the 2012 BMW Championship. Essentially, they were two young bombers with world-class skill.

I have two players available that fit that mold. They are Justin Thomas and Daniel Berger. Berger has struggled on the weekends of late, while JT has been a bit feast-or-famine. It's a bit of a coin flip, but I'm taking Thomas.

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, August 31, 2016

Deutsche Bank Championship - One-and-Done

The Deutsche Bank Championship tees off in just hours, and it's time to declare this week's one-and-done selection.

For the first time all year, I actually took a look at how many options I have available that are currently inside the top 25 in the FedExCup standings. The good news is, I have just enough options to make it through.

This week I'm burning a stud, who happens to be a defending champion rounding into form. That's right. Rickie Fowler.

I'll have my Puma gear on this weekend! Actually, not really. Don't own any. But I will be wearing orange on Saturday night when my Clemson Tigers take on the Auburn War Eagles.

Go (Clemson) Tigers, and go Rickie!

Wednesday, August 24, 2016

The Barclays - One-and-Done

With The Barclays teeing off in a matter of hours, I'll keep it short and sweet for the one-and-done.

Of course, we've reached the point in the season where strategy matters. I'm not chasing by much, so I'm playing it safe. By safe, I mean the best available player. For me, that's Louis Oosthuizen.

Let's go King Louis!

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

Wyndham Championship - One-and-Done

The Wyndham Championship means that there are a mere five tournaments left in the PGA TOUR season. We are in the stretch run of the OAD, and it's now all about strategy.

I'll start by saying I'm taking Jim Furyk, and then I'll back into why.

  • I sit third in a very large league, and maintaining position is very profitable. Furyk is a steady pick.
  • In some regards, he's my best available option. My chasers won't get excited about the Furyk pick.
  • Furyk is well down the FedExCup standings, and a deep run in the Playoffs isn't as likely for him as it is for several others I have available.
  • More important than the Playoffs, he's very motivated to make a final Ryder Cup statement. Being injured the first half of the season, he's chasing.
If I were chasing, I'd roll the dice with a Jon Rahm or Wesley Bryan.

Best of luck to all!

Tuesday, August 9, 2016

John Deere Classic - One-and-Done

The John Deere Classic returns a number of familiar course horses, and we've tabbed one of them for this week's one-and-done.

Zach Johnson hasn't finished worse than third at TPC Deere run in his last five tries. I've saved him for this moment, and I'll burn him in this moment.

Let's go Zach attack!

Wednesday, August 3, 2016

Travelers Championship - One-and-Done

The Travelers Championship is hours away from kicking off, and here is this week's One-and-Done selection.

On the heels of Jason Day's runner-up pick at the PGA Championship, I've vaulted into third out of about 95 in my game. While I'd love to continue the climb, third place is a nice payday. My options at the top are fairly limited, but I found a surprising gem.

I'm taking Webb Simpson. He's played well the last two months, tying for 13th in the PGA Championship, and is a perfect 6/6 at TPC River Highlands. He last played the Travelers in 2013, when he posted a personal-best T5.

Here's hoping the putter behaves!

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

PGA Championship - One-and-Done

The PGA Championship tees off in the morning, and this week's OAD pick is a big one.

One of the old adages in golf, and other sports, is beware the wounded / sick golfer. Shocker of all shockers, Jason Day is running on fumes after taking his wife to the ER earlier this week.

For those that have bailed on Day when a report surfaces that he's battling an injury or had a recent spell of this illness or that ailment, you know it's true for Day.

No offense to the Mrs, but I actually licked my chops when I saw Jason had some adversity to deal with earlier this week. He admits to being tired, unprepared and having low expectations.


Let's Go Day!

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

RBC Canadian Open - One-and-Done

The RBC Canadian Open one-and-done is going to allow me to do something that I rather enjoy. Backing someone whom I can really get behind.

William McGirt nearly won his first PGA TOUR event at the 2012 RBC Canadian Open, sharing second place, though that was at a different venue. He faced Glen Abbey in 2013, which happens to be this week's host, and once again tied for second. Given his recent win at Muirfield Village and T7 in the WGC-Bridgestone Invitation, I'm all in. Emiliano Grillo was a close second, for the record.

Why do I pull for McGirt, you ask? While I've only met him on a few brief occasions, he could probably hit his driver from his driveway to my parent's front yard. It is uphill, so he may need a flip wedge for his second, if the wind is in his face. I also went to middle and high school with his wife, and we were the same grade.

Oh....and there is a financial benefit! He is already in the books as the best 11th-round draft pick I've made in a full-season fantasy game. Now if he can only help my OAD a bit....

Saturday, July 16, 2016

The Open Championship - It's Not Over

I've heard enough over the last six hours. The Open Championship is now a two-horse race. The other 79 guys shouldn't show up. Extend the list of clich├ęs as you will.

The truth is, it probably is over. Probably.

With Bill Haas alone in third place and six behind Stenson, it would take a round similar to the one Phil shot on Thursday (8-under 63) to overtake the top spot. Let's go ahead and concede that as being highly unlikely, but take a deeper look at the options.

Haas has 14 birdies in three rounds (5, 4, 5). He probably won't shoot a 63, but a 4-under 67 isn't completely out of the question. Something like five birdies and one bogey or six birdies and two bogeys.

That, hypothetically, puts Haas at 10-under.

Stenson's 68 on Saturday was tied for the best round of the day. If we've learned anything over the years, it is that a low round is hard to follow. While 68 isn't ultra-low, it's still the round of the day. Stenson's also never won a major championship, and is sleeping on the 54-hole lead in a major for the first time. You're telling me that it isn't possible that he comes out tomorrow with the pressure on and fires a 3-over 74, dropping him to 9-under?

And then there's Phil. DID NOBODY WATCH WINGED FOOT IN 2006? It wasn't van de Veldian, but it demonstrates that Phil can blow it. For those that like trends, Phil started red hot, but has been worse every day following. You can't count out the possibility that Phil throws up a 73, with a bogey on the last hole, to miss a playoff by a shot.

The most dangerous thing for the Stenson / Mickelson duo is to lull themselves into a match-play nap. A Bill Haas or Andrew Johnston, in the group immediately ahead, quietly shoots 2- or 3-under on the front, but still hang about three back. Suddenly Haas or Johnston bags an eagle on 16 and an unlikely birdie on 17 or 18, and then Mickelson / Stenson  wake up a bit too late to realize they just lost the lead with a hole or two to play.

Do I think Mickelson or Stenson will hoist the Claret Jug on Sunday? Yep. I'd say to the tune of about 80% certainty.

Now, raise your hand if you thought Jordan Spieth had sealed the deal on his second green jacket when he stepped on the 10th tee at Augusta National on a Sunday afternoon in April. Rae's Creek happened, just like pot bunkers at the Postage Stamp can happen. Tee balls can be lost in gorse bushes.

The fat lady is in the auditorium doing her warm ups, but she's a long way from taking the stage!

Tuesday, July 12, 2016

Open Championship & Barbasol Championship - One-and-Done

We have another double dip this week, with the Open Championship stealing the show as the Barbasol Championship offers the lower tier of the PGA TOUR a shot at glory. It's time to declare a one-and-done selection, as the Open starts about six hours earlier than what we are used to for other U.S. tournaments.

A selection for the Open Championship is normally tricky, but the perfect pick fell right into my lap. It's hard to burn a truly elite player at the Open, as weather could throw a huge wrench into the proceedings at any time.

Enter a man who tied for second in the Masters and had a chance to win the U.S. Open this year. That's right. Lee Westwood. He's showing up on the big stage. History tells us he won't win, but current form tells us he will contend. Plus, you won't miss him later.

At the Barbasol Championship, I have two criteria. Give me a guy from the Southeastern part of the United States, and give me a player with some level of pedigree or current form in 2016. That man is Roberto Castro.

Best of luck to all!

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

WGC-Bridgestone and Barracuda - One-and-done

We got ourselves a double dip this week! The one-and-done consists of the WGC-Bridgestone and the Barracuda Championship, and we'll take our best shot at both.

A couple of Internationals were bouncing around in my head for Firestone CC this week, with defending champion, Shane Lowry, and Branden Grace catching my eye from the available pool of talent. For leagues that don't allow defending champs, Grace it is. As for me, I'm going with the course history / current form combo of Lowry.

At the Barracuda, I really wanted to pull the lever on John Rahm. Almost did, and will regret it mightily if he wins. Instead, I'm taking Gary Woodland.

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Quicken Loans National - One-and-Done

If you caught my preview for the Quicken Loans National on Rotoworld, you'll know that I believe this week fails to present us with an obvious choice for a one-and-done. Being as such, I suspect there will be a wide variety of players burned at Congressional.

I'm riding the hot hand of Marc Leishman, with his three consecutive top 20s. Coupled with a top 10 at Congressional in 2014, he's as good of an option as any.

There are lots of interesting choices this week, and I could endorse any number of players. The Aussie feels like just the right blend of good form, good enough history, and I probably won't miss him later.

Best of luck to all!

Sunday, June 19, 2016

Breaking Down Andrew Landry - U.S. Open

While there are many plots surrounding the final round of the U.S. Open, perhaps none are bigger than Andrew Landry. The obvious question is, how did he end up in the final pairing of the 2016 U.S. Open at Oakmont? Further down the list of questions are, what is a solid comparison in regards to what he's done / doing?

Who is Andrew Landry?

  • PGA TOUR rookie in 2015-16. 
  • Ranks 624th in the OWGR, which is down from 502nd at the end of the 2015 Web.com Tour Championship. 
  • Ironically, his 624th ranking is his lowest of 2016, even on the heels of his best PGA TOUR finish (T41 in the FedEx St. Jude Open). 
  • Ranks 203rd in the FEC Standings. (Sitting outside the top 200, he would not currently qualify for the Web.com Tour finals.)
  • 2009 University of Arkansas product, where he had a strong amateur career.
Why this week?
  • While he's only made 5 of 11 cuts in 2015-16 on the PGA TOUR, all five have come in his last six starts. 
  • He ranks 11th in SG: Off-the-tee and 12th in SG: Putting. If you can hit it well off the tee and putt, Oakmont could work. 
  • In contrast to ranking 183rd in SG: around-the-green, he ranks a strong 27th in Scrambling.
  • He ranks 1st in Total Putting.
  • At 193rd in par 5 scoring average, he catches a break with Oakmont having just two par 5s. 
  • He ranks 51st in par 3 scoring average.

Why this is completely out of the blue.
  • He managed to finish 72 holes under par on the PGA TOUR just one time all season. That was a 1-under tally at the Valero Texas Open, where he tied for 51st. 
  • Even though he posted a season-best T41 last week in Memphis, he did not break par in any round. Why the heck is he under par at Oakmont, again?
  • He ranks outside of the top 180 in SG: tee-to-green (187), SG: around-the-green (183) and SG: approach-the-green (199).
  • Important to know for Sunday, he ranked 136th in final round scoring average. 
  • While there are some important strengths to his game, he has some very obvious holes (statistically).
Perhaps the biggest question is, why hasn't he come close to putting anything like this together any other time this season?

Should he win, I'm struggling to find a comparison.
  • Probably the closest thing that comes to mind, at least in the 20 years I've been following golf, is the Ben Curtis Open Championship win in 2003. Still, Curtis was 396th in the world at the time, which is almost twice as high as Landry sits today.
  • In terms of the U.S.Open, Michael Campbell in 2005 at Pinehurst was an upset of sorts, especially given what's happened to his game since, but he was much more established than Landry. Had Jason Gore scored the win, that would have been much more comparable. 
  • Lucas Glover won at Bethpage in 2009 as an open qualifier, but Glover played in the 2007 Presidents Cup and had already won a PGA TOUR title, so that's not even close. 
  • Rich Beem in the PGA? Shaun Micheel? Still not the same. John Daly in his PGA win as an alternate? 
History says Landry should shoot a 78 in the final round, just miss breaking the top 10, and be a footnote that nobody remembers in three years. Who knows if he'll follow the script, or rewrite recent history. Either way, there's a pretty good chance he'll at least move inside the top 200 on the FEC standings and earn a tee time in the Web.com Tour Finals later this summer!

And if he wins? At Oakmont? I submit that it will be one of the biggest stories in the history of golf.

It should be fun to watch!

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

U.S. Open - One-and-Done

Hold on tight, as it's time for the U.S. Open at Oakmont Country Club. In terms of the one-and-done, this is one of those weeks to take a hard look at the top. Oakmont has historically delivered well-pedigreed champions who have won, or go on to win, multiple majors.

I zeroed in on two thoroughbreds. Jason Day and Rory McIlroy. Full disclosure, I don't have Jordan Spieth available, but I wouldn't have played him anyway.

Picking between Day and McIlroy is a virtual coin flip, but there are a few key differences as it relates to a OAD.

I'm picking McIlroy, and here's why.

  • If his driver is on, and I get that's an "if", he can eliminate 95% of the field off the tee. It's how he won the 2011 U.S. Open at Congressional and how he won the PGA Championship at Kiawah. 
  • Oakmont is not all that different, in some respects, to both of those venues. 
  • His high ball-flight should play well.
  • With a chance of thunderstorms Thursday afternoon, I like Rory's AM/PM draw better than Day's PM/AM. It's a small thing, but it could protect Rory from a starting/stopping routine on Thursday that Day could face. 
Typically, I would rather play McIlroy in a scenario where he was coming off a win and playing the next week. I still feel his form is good enough, so I'm not going to sweat it.

Let's go, Rory!

Wednesday, June 8, 2016

FedEx St. Jude - One-and-Done

The FedEx St. Jude Classic awaits, and it's time to name this week's one-and-done selection.

This week's choice brings with it a pretty clear decision. Do I play the obvious favorite, in Dustin Johnson, or do I go against him? I've been burned, as all of you have, by taking the obvious favorite in a can't-miss scenario only to see him miss the cut. That is my fear with DJ.

While mired in a bit of a slump in the OAD, I'm still safely inside the money of my own game. That dictates my strategy this week. I would regret not taking DJ if he turned in a top-five performance more than I would be frustrated with a missed cut. Either could happen, but the stats, current form and course history all point towards DJ.

I'm sticking to the process and attaching my hopes to DJ!

Wednesday, June 1, 2016

Memorial Tournament - One-and-Done

The Memorial Tournament is next up on the PGA TOUR rota, and it's time to knock out the one-and-done selection.

I'll start by saying that I don't have Hideki Matsuyama available. I'm not exactly sorry, as I burned him for his win in the Waste Management Phoenix Open. If you do have him, it's time to play him.

While Rory McIlroy led off my power rankings over on Rotoworld, I'm holding off on him. I love that he's starting to heat up, and he tends to run hot for long periods of time. If that plays out, there will be plenty of chances to burn him the next few weeks or months. 

I went a little further down my list than normal, and took a guy felt good in my gut (dangerous) to go with having really solid stats, current form and course history. 

That is Russell Knox. He tied for 18th here last year after missing the cut in his first venture. That trend could easily continue to improve. He's also pretty hot of late, minus the missed cut in the BMW PGA over in England last week.

The other idea I batted around was Chris Kirk. They were neck-and-neck, and my gut said Knox. 

Best of luck to all!

Tuesday, May 24, 2016

DEAN & DELUCA Invitational - One-and-Done

It's been brought to my attention that I'm on a bit of a slump in the OAD of late. I was somewhat surprised to see that I've gone without a top 50 since the Charley Hoffman win at the Valero Texas Open. Perhaps I'm due?

What I will say, as it's time to select the one-and-done for the DEAN & DELUCA Invitational, is that the process is always the same every week in terms of OAD selection. Whether it be one of my six missed cuts or one of the four wins, the effort and research was the same every week.

With that as the backdrop, I'm pegging a guy that can be a little hard to target from week-to-week, but one in the midst of a great season and who should be a good fit this week. That is Kevin Chappell. Were it not for Jason Day, Chappell would own two PGA TOUR victories this season. As it stands, he has three runner-up finishes this season and is still seeking his first TOUR title.

Perhaps this will be the week. Perhaps not. Either way, he's the call!

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

AT&T Byron Nelson - One-and-Done

The AT&T Byron Nelson kicks off in about 24 hours, so let's set the one-and-done and get ready to watch it all play out.

As my Rotoworld power ranking would suggest, I put a decent amount of emphasis on course history. I've seen this as a rather quirky tournament of late, that's been pretty hard to peg. Steven Bowditch and Brendon Todd are not all that similar, for instance, so it's hard to rely on stat trends.

Two players that I still have available quickly stood out as my potential options. They are Ryan Palmer and Marc Leishman. Both are adequately long. Both are known to be good wind players if the situation arises. Both have very good records at TPC Four Seasons Resort, including top-three finishes.

That brought the tie breaker down to current form. I give the nod to Palmer after a T4 in the Valero Texas Open. Leishman is hovering around the top 20 / top 30 halo of late, which is his only slight knock.

Best of luck to all!

Tuesday, May 10, 2016

THE PLAYERS Championship - One-and-done

Next up on the PGA TOUR is THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. Following our OAD win with Charley Hoffman at the Valero Texas Open, we are stuck in a rut with a Justin Rose MC in New Orleans and a meaningless finish by J.B. Holmes at Quail Hollow last week. The pressure is on, and the massive purse gives us every reason to do our best this week.

As a general rule, I'm not a fan of getting cute at THE PLAYERS. The purse is just too big and there is still plenty of time to catch up if trailing.

As much as I love Russell Knox this week, I'm holstering him for the more proven Sergio Garcia. Many (or all) of you have been burned by Garcia at some point, but you have to feel pretty good about five, top-four finishes at TPC Sawgrass including a win and two runner-ups to go with just two missed cuts in 16 tries.

Let's go, Sergio!

Wednesday, May 4, 2016

Wells Fargo Championship - One-and-Done

The Wells Fargo Championship kicks off tomorrow morning at Quail Hollow Club, and it's time to declare the OAD for the week.

The real question this week is simple. Burn Rory, or don't?

With two wins and a runner-up the case is very easy to make for McIlroy. I'm holding off because I'm waiting on him to get really hot. While patience was costly last year due to Rory's injury, I'm betting that he stays healthy and catches fire at some point over the next few months.

With him eliminated from the OAD, but still in the field, I dove a little deeper down my Rotoworld power ranking for the answer. I debated between Kevin Chappell and J.B. Holmes before ultimately taking the upside of the past champion (Holmes).

Bombs away! Let's go J.B.

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Zurich Classic of New Orleans - One-and-Done

The Zurich Classic of New Orleans kicks off in almost exactly 24 hours, and here is the one-and-done pick for the week.

Fortunately, we have a little momentum after picking up our fourth win of the 2015-16 season last week with Charley Hoffman. Much to my pleasing, the top guy on my power ranking (Rotoworld.com) this week is still available in my OAD game. That is Justin Rose.

Given he has been a top-10 lock at TPC Louisiana and is playing well of late, he's the easy choice for me. I realize that some games don't allow for the selections of defending champs. If you are in such a format, I would strongly urge you to consider Billy Horschel. He's coming in hot and tends to play well in spurts.

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, April 20, 2016

Valero Texas Open - OAD

We are just hours away from the first tee ball in the air at the Valero Texas Open, so I'll keep the one-and-done selection brief.

I'll do what I should have done at the RBC Heritage last week (Luke Donald) and trust the course history buff. That is, Charley Hoffman. Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, April 13, 2016

RBC Heritage - One-and-Done

The Masters was almost perfect, as Jordan Spieth led by five with nine holes to play. The next three holes killed our one-and-done pick, as Spieth went bogey-bogey-quad on 10, 11 and 12 to fade into a tie for second. While Spieth quite literally cost himself a million bucks, he cost those of us that backed him in the OAD some money in our pools as well.

We move on!

The RBC Heritage looks to be a wet and windy affair this week in Hilton Head. When weather is a possible factor, I tend to shy away from burning studs. My research indicates that it's impossible to tell at this stage whether or not one draw favors the other, so I'm not factoring that into the decision.

I actually had to dig fairly deep down my power ranking this week to find the right choice. I ignored Jason Day, as I have plans for him in a much bigger event down the road. (Before you ask, I'm not sure which one.)

Ranking 7-11 in my Rotoworld power ranking were Boo Weekley, Luke Donald, Russell Knox, Graeme McDowell and Matthew Fitzpatrick. We've essentially got four guys from Scotland / England Northern Ireland and Boo. It just so happens that all are available to me, so this comes down to who I like the best in the wind.

Donald has struggled on and off of late, so I don't know that I trust his game in the wind. He's a great scrambler, but the conditions may be too much.

I've decided to go off the grid a bit and pick a non-member on the heels of Danny Willett's non-member win at the Masters. I'm taking another Brit. That would be Matthew Fitzpatrick. He moved up to 39th in the OWGR after a T7 in a blustery Masters and finished T23 here in 2014 on a sponsor's invite.

Best of luck to all!

Tuesday, April 5, 2016

Masters - One-and-Done

The Masters is here to usher in the unofficial start to the golf season, and Augusta National Golf Club awaits 89 of the game's best and most historic players. Here is this week's one-and-done, and it's a big one.

In my mind, Jason Day, Jordan Spieth, Adam Scott and Bubba Watson all have a case for being the favorite this week. As this is a major, there is absolutely no reason not to burn a big name and play the best player in a OAD format.

I burned Bubba at Doral and was rewarded with a solo second. It just so happens I burned Scott at the WGC-HSBC, and the reward was not so nice.

That leaves Day and Spieth. All signs point to Day this week, so I'm going with Spieth. There's just too much pressure on Day's shoulders, which is ironic since Spieth has the "pressure" of defending. Day has never won a Masters, but has a second and a third. He's also the most recent major winner (2015 PGA) and won the WGC-Match Play two weeks ago. He checks every box.

That's exactly why I'm going with Spieth. He's played the Masters twice and has a win and a runner-up to show for it. He unlocked the magic formula to Augusta National very early on, and there is no reason not to think he will be in the mix this week. 

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Shell Houston Open - One-and-done

The Shell Houston Open begins tomorrow, and offers one final chance for a player to earn a coveted Masters invitation with a win. That said, my one-and-done selection will be a player who is already exempt.

Phil Mickelson has a history of winning the week before a major championship. He's also played reasonably well all season.

That's enough for me, as I don't see a reason to save Mickelson.

Let's go Phil!

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

WGC-Dell Match Play & Puerto Rico Open One-and-Done

This is a bit of a rush job, as the WGC-Dell Match Play tees off on Wednesday in Austin, Texas. While we have another day to debate the Puerto Rico Open, there is no point.

For the Match Play, I'm taking Danny Willett. He finished third in this event last year, and has tied for third in both WGCs that are in the books for 2015-16. I'll be ecstatic if he does the same this week!

Scott Brown edges out William McGirt for my Puerto Rico Open OAD. Brown is a past winner and is in good form. All signs are a go.

Best of luck!

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

Arnold Palmer Invitational - One-and-Done

The Arnold Palmer Invitational is upon us, and it's time to wrap things up with the one-and-done pick.

First, apologies for the late submission.

Now on to business. Because I have burned some players worthy of consideration like Adam Scott and Ryan Moore, this week's pick turned out to be quite easy.

I'm rolling with Henrik Stenson and his great course history.

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, March 9, 2016

Valspar Championship - One-and-Done

The Valspar Championship is hours away from teeing off, and it's time to declare our one-and-done pick for the week.

I wrestled with this one. While Jordan Spieth and Henrik Stenson are the class of the field, and both are more than capable of picking off a win this week, neither are on the trajectory that I expect them to be at some point later in the year.

My crosshairs became focused on Webb Simpson and K.J. Choi. This one really could have gone either way, but I'm giving the slight nod to Choi. In addition to being about as hot as he's been in the last three years, he returns to a sight where he has twice been the victor and ranks second in scrambling and third in par 3 scoring.

K.J. it is. Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, March 2, 2016

WGC-Cadillac Championship - One-and-Done

The first WGC of 2016 is about to kick off at the Blue Monster. Here is this week's one-and-done for the WGC-Cadillac Championship.

My requirements for a OAD burn at Doral are pretty simple. Be very long and very classy. I love Bubba Watson, Dustin Johnson, Adam Scott, J.B. Holmes and a couple of others for this week. That said, I'm a big Bubba fan for this event.

Bubba always seems to be right at the top of the leaderboard at Doral. He's also fresh off a win at Riviera. That's a bit of a double-edged sword, but his history here is enough to overcome any hangover.

Bubba's the pick!

Tuesday, February 23, 2016

The Honda Classic - One-and-Done

For The Honda Classic one-and-done, this is a good week to make a safe play. And by safe, I mean course history. Granted, I typically play it pretty safe, so perhaps this isn't a swerve from the norm.

Two names jumped off the page to me. Paul Casey and Russell Knox. In fact, if memory serves, I rode Casey to a solid T3 here last year. In fact, Knox joined Casey in a share of third.

Both are a little on the chilly side entering this week. While that is a concern, it's not a massive one. I'm taking Casey again. He has two top-four finishes at PGA National and another T12. He enters off a rather unremarkable T39 at Riviera last week. That's edges him ahead of Knox, who's been riding the MC train since a 27th in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions.

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Northern Trust Open - One-and-Done

The Northern Trust Open kicks off in about 13 hours, and it's time to declare a one-and-done selection at Riviera CC.

The more I searched through the options, the more it became clear that two stood above the fray for a tournament like this. They are J.B. Holmes and Charl Schwartzel. Quite honestly, pick your poison.

Both have solid course history and each are playing some impressive golf. Schwartzel was a winner overseas last week, while Holmes enters on a T6-T6-T11 run.

To me, this is all about which one you'd rather save. There is no right or wrong answer on Wednesday night, so I'm going to save Holmes and play Schwartzel.

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am - One-and-Done

The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am is on the final countdown to opening tee shots, and it's time to cement the OAD picks for the week.

I see four names that should be on your radar this week. Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Brandt Sendeker and Jimmy Walker.

I've burned Snedeker (Famers), but I'll make the case for him later for those that haven't.

This week's call is a little bit of an opportunity cost question. That is, which guy are you most likely to want later. The name that stands out to me in that category is Dustin Johnson. He's an extremely attractive option at Doral in a few weeks, in addition to other WGCs, and the FedExCup playoffs. While he's a great play this week, there are others just as good and it'll be nice to have DJ later.

I wouldn't miss Phil if I burned him this week, but his inconsistency gives him a pass for the moment.

Snedeker versus Walker is an interesting call. Because of how hot Sneds is right now, I'd be apt to play him this week if I still had him. He's great on poa annua and is a two-time winner. Walker also offers some possible plays on the Texas Swings later in the spring. That said, Walker offers almost everything that Sneds does this week, plus he's longer.

For me, it's a pretty easy call. I'm rolling with Jimmy Walker. The last two tournaments have finished very chalky, resulting in back-to-back OAD wins. The PGA TOUR runs in cycles. Earlier this season (2015 portion) the trend was first-time winners. Currently, it's predictable course horses with class. That's another feather in Jimmy's cap! No pun intended.

Let's go Jimmy!

Wednesday, February 3, 2016

Waste Management Phoenix Open - One-and-Done

If the OAD is like the stock market, then you probably shouldn't follow my lead this week. Last week, you would have been buying low after a MC at the Sony Open and a T49 at the CareerBuilder Challenge. You would have been rewarded with Brandt Snedeker as the winner.

For the record, I now have two wins in 11 tournaments (Kisner at Sea Island) and rank a mere 19th in my OAD league and am inside the money with one spot to spare. Tough crowd!

This week I'm taking a course history play. Some may immediately think that means Bubba Watson, with a pair of runner-up finishes in his wake at TPC Scottsdale, but I'm looking at someone almost as tasty. That would be Hideki Matsuyama, with a T4-T2 record in the WMPO.

Yes, he missed the cut at the Farmers last week, but he played just fine in the first round with a 68. He'll be fine. Probably.

Best of luck!

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Farmers Insurance Open - One-and-Done

Before we dive into the one-and-done for the Farmers Insurance Open, this serves as a quick reminder that my power rankings can be found here

Four names were bouncing around in my head very early on the OAD process this week, and one name always seemed to stand above the others. I like Charles Howell III and Bill Haas for a OAD this week, but not as much as Phil Mickelson and Brandt Snedeker. (I didn't see this as the right play for Day in this format even before the illness.) 

Both Mickelson and Snedeker have solid current form and great course history. There is an argument to save Sneds for Pebble Beach, but he also has the weight of defending there. Mainly for that reason, I'm going to go ahead and burn Snedeker this week at Torrey Pines.

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

CareerBuilder Challenge - One-and-Done

Time is ticking away before balls are in the air at the CareerBuilder Challenge, and here is the one and done to wrap up our research for the week.

For those asking about power rankings, I have incorporated those into my CareerBuilder Rotoworld preview. You will also find my Yahoo! picks and Golf Channel picks in this Rotoworld article

I realize that it's a bit of a hassle for those of you that typically read the power ranking on the blog, but it only makes sense to write one article and publish it in one place. I will continue to link to that power ranking in this space. I honestly have mixed emotions about giving that up to Rotoworld, but it's the best thing for now. 

One thing to note since my Yahoo! picks were published is the sub out of Finau for Bohn. That had to do with spreading out the course rotation.

Now for the OAD!

This came down to two picks. Matt Kuchar and Charles Howell III. Both tied for 13th last week at the Sony Open and both are past runner-ups at this week's event. Because this week could play a little harder than we are used to in this event, I'm taking Kuchar by a hair over CH3. 

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

Sony Open - One-and-done

The Sony Open is ready to kick off at Waialae Country Club, and here is this week's one-and-done. Apologies for the late posting. For those that follow me on Twitter, you probably picked up on my travels from South Carolina to Phoenix for the National Championship game.

As stated in my Rotoworld preview, I'm a big believer in course history this week. As such, names that pop up in the OAD include Jimmy Walker, Charles Howell III, Matt Kuchar and Russell Henley. For the record, I would endorse any of those.

I almost pulled the trigger with Charles Howell III, but I just couldn't bring myself to do it. It's dangerous to use feel when making any type of pick, but that's what it came down to for me with the remaining three. It's hard to see Jimmy Walker winning three of these in a row. Matt Kuchar's course history is very attractive, and course history matters at Sony, but he's also usually fresh off a warm up at Kapalua. That wasn't the case this week.

I'm going with Russell Henley. He ended 2015 in good form and I really like his trend at the Sony Open. It was almost predictable that he would follow up his 2013 win with a bit of a letdown in his first ever title defense. He delivered on that expectation with a T57 in 2014. His T17 in 2015 established him as a course horse here and has him trending for a big week. It's a quiet trend, which I like even more.

Don't forget that Henley's background has him performing very well on par 70 layouts, due in part to a long history of par 4 scoring strength.

Best of luck to all!

Tuesday, January 5, 2016

Hyundai Tournament of Champions - One-and-done

The Hyundai Tournament of Champions kicks off 2016 for the PGA TOUR on the Plantation Course at Kapalua. As a reminder, you can now find my preview and player breakdowns at rotoworld.com in my weekly feature article, normally publishing on Tuesdays. My Yahoo! and Golf Channel selection can be found on Playing the Tips at Rotoworld in a feature written by Josh Culp.

As for this week's one-and-done, strategy comes into play. For starters, in a limited field with a no-cut event, everyone cashes that finishes.

While Jordan Spieth and Jason Day both stand excellent chances to win, this isn't the time to play them. Consider the opportunity cost. If you pick Spieth and he wins, but the guy you would have picked second finishes T7, you won't have gained as much as if you put Spieth on a win in a major or WGC versus your second best option missing the cut. Of course, if you could be 100% certain he was going to win, you would play him. And if Spieth finishes in a three-way tie for third and your second best pick is solo sixth, you've wasted a pick.

My one-and-done this week offers both excellent form and legit course history. That is Patrick Reed. he's been tearing it up across the globe and is the defending champion. I would happily take a top-five finishes with Reed and move on to the Sony Open.

Best of luck to all!