I can also be found at Rotoworld.com and on Twitter @RyanGolfBlogger.

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Farmers Insurance Open - One-and-Done

Before we dive into the one-and-done for the Farmers Insurance Open, this serves as a quick reminder that my power rankings can be found here

Four names were bouncing around in my head very early on the OAD process this week, and one name always seemed to stand above the others. I like Charles Howell III and Bill Haas for a OAD this week, but not as much as Phil Mickelson and Brandt Snedeker. (I didn't see this as the right play for Day in this format even before the illness.) 

Both Mickelson and Snedeker have solid current form and great course history. There is an argument to save Sneds for Pebble Beach, but he also has the weight of defending there. Mainly for that reason, I'm going to go ahead and burn Snedeker this week at Torrey Pines.

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

CareerBuilder Challenge - One-and-Done

Time is ticking away before balls are in the air at the CareerBuilder Challenge, and here is the one and done to wrap up our research for the week.

For those asking about power rankings, I have incorporated those into my CareerBuilder Rotoworld preview. You will also find my Yahoo! picks and Golf Channel picks in this Rotoworld article

I realize that it's a bit of a hassle for those of you that typically read the power ranking on the blog, but it only makes sense to write one article and publish it in one place. I will continue to link to that power ranking in this space. I honestly have mixed emotions about giving that up to Rotoworld, but it's the best thing for now. 

One thing to note since my Yahoo! picks were published is the sub out of Finau for Bohn. That had to do with spreading out the course rotation.

Now for the OAD!

This came down to two picks. Matt Kuchar and Charles Howell III. Both tied for 13th last week at the Sony Open and both are past runner-ups at this week's event. Because this week could play a little harder than we are used to in this event, I'm taking Kuchar by a hair over CH3. 

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

Sony Open - One-and-done

The Sony Open is ready to kick off at Waialae Country Club, and here is this week's one-and-done. Apologies for the late posting. For those that follow me on Twitter, you probably picked up on my travels from South Carolina to Phoenix for the National Championship game.

As stated in my Rotoworld preview, I'm a big believer in course history this week. As such, names that pop up in the OAD include Jimmy Walker, Charles Howell III, Matt Kuchar and Russell Henley. For the record, I would endorse any of those.

I almost pulled the trigger with Charles Howell III, but I just couldn't bring myself to do it. It's dangerous to use feel when making any type of pick, but that's what it came down to for me with the remaining three. It's hard to see Jimmy Walker winning three of these in a row. Matt Kuchar's course history is very attractive, and course history matters at Sony, but he's also usually fresh off a warm up at Kapalua. That wasn't the case this week.

I'm going with Russell Henley. He ended 2015 in good form and I really like his trend at the Sony Open. It was almost predictable that he would follow up his 2013 win with a bit of a letdown in his first ever title defense. He delivered on that expectation with a T57 in 2014. His T17 in 2015 established him as a course horse here and has him trending for a big week. It's a quiet trend, which I like even more.

Don't forget that Henley's background has him performing very well on par 70 layouts, due in part to a long history of par 4 scoring strength.

Best of luck to all!

Tuesday, January 5, 2016

Hyundai Tournament of Champions - One-and-done

The Hyundai Tournament of Champions kicks off 2016 for the PGA TOUR on the Plantation Course at Kapalua. As a reminder, you can now find my preview and player breakdowns at rotoworld.com in my weekly feature article, normally publishing on Tuesdays. My Yahoo! and Golf Channel selection can be found on Playing the Tips at Rotoworld in a feature written by Josh Culp.

As for this week's one-and-done, strategy comes into play. For starters, in a limited field with a no-cut event, everyone cashes that finishes.

While Jordan Spieth and Jason Day both stand excellent chances to win, this isn't the time to play them. Consider the opportunity cost. If you pick Spieth and he wins, but the guy you would have picked second finishes T7, you won't have gained as much as if you put Spieth on a win in a major or WGC versus your second best option missing the cut. Of course, if you could be 100% certain he was going to win, you would play him. And if Spieth finishes in a three-way tie for third and your second best pick is solo sixth, you've wasted a pick.

My one-and-done this week offers both excellent form and legit course history. That is Patrick Reed. he's been tearing it up across the globe and is the defending champion. I would happily take a top-five finishes with Reed and move on to the Sony Open.

Best of luck to all!