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Tuesday, February 23, 2016

The Honda Classic - One-and-Done

For The Honda Classic one-and-done, this is a good week to make a safe play. And by safe, I mean course history. Granted, I typically play it pretty safe, so perhaps this isn't a swerve from the norm.

Two names jumped off the page to me. Paul Casey and Russell Knox. In fact, if memory serves, I rode Casey to a solid T3 here last year. In fact, Knox joined Casey in a share of third.

Both are a little on the chilly side entering this week. While that is a concern, it's not a massive one. I'm taking Casey again. He has two top-four finishes at PGA National and another T12. He enters off a rather unremarkable T39 at Riviera last week. That's edges him ahead of Knox, who's been riding the MC train since a 27th in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions.

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Northern Trust Open - One-and-Done

The Northern Trust Open kicks off in about 13 hours, and it's time to declare a one-and-done selection at Riviera CC.

The more I searched through the options, the more it became clear that two stood above the fray for a tournament like this. They are J.B. Holmes and Charl Schwartzel. Quite honestly, pick your poison.

Both have solid course history and each are playing some impressive golf. Schwartzel was a winner overseas last week, while Holmes enters on a T6-T6-T11 run.

To me, this is all about which one you'd rather save. There is no right or wrong answer on Wednesday night, so I'm going to save Holmes and play Schwartzel.

Best of luck to all!

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am - One-and-Done

The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am is on the final countdown to opening tee shots, and it's time to cement the OAD picks for the week.

I see four names that should be on your radar this week. Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Brandt Sendeker and Jimmy Walker.

I've burned Snedeker (Famers), but I'll make the case for him later for those that haven't.

This week's call is a little bit of an opportunity cost question. That is, which guy are you most likely to want later. The name that stands out to me in that category is Dustin Johnson. He's an extremely attractive option at Doral in a few weeks, in addition to other WGCs, and the FedExCup playoffs. While he's a great play this week, there are others just as good and it'll be nice to have DJ later.

I wouldn't miss Phil if I burned him this week, but his inconsistency gives him a pass for the moment.

Snedeker versus Walker is an interesting call. Because of how hot Sneds is right now, I'd be apt to play him this week if I still had him. He's great on poa annua and is a two-time winner. Walker also offers some possible plays on the Texas Swings later in the spring. That said, Walker offers almost everything that Sneds does this week, plus he's longer.

For me, it's a pretty easy call. I'm rolling with Jimmy Walker. The last two tournaments have finished very chalky, resulting in back-to-back OAD wins. The PGA TOUR runs in cycles. Earlier this season (2015 portion) the trend was first-time winners. Currently, it's predictable course horses with class. That's another feather in Jimmy's cap! No pun intended.

Let's go Jimmy!

Wednesday, February 3, 2016

Waste Management Phoenix Open - One-and-Done

If the OAD is like the stock market, then you probably shouldn't follow my lead this week. Last week, you would have been buying low after a MC at the Sony Open and a T49 at the CareerBuilder Challenge. You would have been rewarded with Brandt Snedeker as the winner.

For the record, I now have two wins in 11 tournaments (Kisner at Sea Island) and rank a mere 19th in my OAD league and am inside the money with one spot to spare. Tough crowd!

This week I'm taking a course history play. Some may immediately think that means Bubba Watson, with a pair of runner-up finishes in his wake at TPC Scottsdale, but I'm looking at someone almost as tasty. That would be Hideki Matsuyama, with a T4-T2 record in the WMPO.

Yes, he missed the cut at the Farmers last week, but he played just fine in the first round with a 68. He'll be fine. Probably.

Best of luck!