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Wednesday, July 27, 2016

PGA Championship - One-and-Done

The PGA Championship tees off in the morning, and this week's OAD pick is a big one.

One of the old adages in golf, and other sports, is beware the wounded / sick golfer. Shocker of all shockers, Jason Day is running on fumes after taking his wife to the ER earlier this week.

For those that have bailed on Day when a report surfaces that he's battling an injury or had a recent spell of this illness or that ailment, you know it's true for Day.

No offense to the Mrs, but I actually licked my chops when I saw Jason had some adversity to deal with earlier this week. He admits to being tired, unprepared and having low expectations.


Let's Go Day!

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

RBC Canadian Open - One-and-Done

The RBC Canadian Open one-and-done is going to allow me to do something that I rather enjoy. Backing someone whom I can really get behind.

William McGirt nearly won his first PGA TOUR event at the 2012 RBC Canadian Open, sharing second place, though that was at a different venue. He faced Glen Abbey in 2013, which happens to be this week's host, and once again tied for second. Given his recent win at Muirfield Village and T7 in the WGC-Bridgestone Invitation, I'm all in. Emiliano Grillo was a close second, for the record.

Why do I pull for McGirt, you ask? While I've only met him on a few brief occasions, he could probably hit his driver from his driveway to my parent's front yard. It is uphill, so he may need a flip wedge for his second, if the wind is in his face. I also went to middle and high school with his wife, and we were the same grade.

Oh....and there is a financial benefit! He is already in the books as the best 11th-round draft pick I've made in a full-season fantasy game. Now if he can only help my OAD a bit....

Saturday, July 16, 2016

The Open Championship - It's Not Over

I've heard enough over the last six hours. The Open Championship is now a two-horse race. The other 79 guys shouldn't show up. Extend the list of clich├ęs as you will.

The truth is, it probably is over. Probably.

With Bill Haas alone in third place and six behind Stenson, it would take a round similar to the one Phil shot on Thursday (8-under 63) to overtake the top spot. Let's go ahead and concede that as being highly unlikely, but take a deeper look at the options.

Haas has 14 birdies in three rounds (5, 4, 5). He probably won't shoot a 63, but a 4-under 67 isn't completely out of the question. Something like five birdies and one bogey or six birdies and two bogeys.

That, hypothetically, puts Haas at 10-under.

Stenson's 68 on Saturday was tied for the best round of the day. If we've learned anything over the years, it is that a low round is hard to follow. While 68 isn't ultra-low, it's still the round of the day. Stenson's also never won a major championship, and is sleeping on the 54-hole lead in a major for the first time. You're telling me that it isn't possible that he comes out tomorrow with the pressure on and fires a 3-over 74, dropping him to 9-under?

And then there's Phil. DID NOBODY WATCH WINGED FOOT IN 2006? It wasn't van de Veldian, but it demonstrates that Phil can blow it. For those that like trends, Phil started red hot, but has been worse every day following. You can't count out the possibility that Phil throws up a 73, with a bogey on the last hole, to miss a playoff by a shot.

The most dangerous thing for the Stenson / Mickelson duo is to lull themselves into a match-play nap. A Bill Haas or Andrew Johnston, in the group immediately ahead, quietly shoots 2- or 3-under on the front, but still hang about three back. Suddenly Haas or Johnston bags an eagle on 16 and an unlikely birdie on 17 or 18, and then Mickelson / Stenson  wake up a bit too late to realize they just lost the lead with a hole or two to play.

Do I think Mickelson or Stenson will hoist the Claret Jug on Sunday? Yep. I'd say to the tune of about 80% certainty.

Now, raise your hand if you thought Jordan Spieth had sealed the deal on his second green jacket when he stepped on the 10th tee at Augusta National on a Sunday afternoon in April. Rae's Creek happened, just like pot bunkers at the Postage Stamp can happen. Tee balls can be lost in gorse bushes.

The fat lady is in the auditorium doing her warm ups, but she's a long way from taking the stage!

Tuesday, July 12, 2016

Open Championship & Barbasol Championship - One-and-Done

We have another double dip this week, with the Open Championship stealing the show as the Barbasol Championship offers the lower tier of the PGA TOUR a shot at glory. It's time to declare a one-and-done selection, as the Open starts about six hours earlier than what we are used to for other U.S. tournaments.

A selection for the Open Championship is normally tricky, but the perfect pick fell right into my lap. It's hard to burn a truly elite player at the Open, as weather could throw a huge wrench into the proceedings at any time.

Enter a man who tied for second in the Masters and had a chance to win the U.S. Open this year. That's right. Lee Westwood. He's showing up on the big stage. History tells us he won't win, but current form tells us he will contend. Plus, you won't miss him later.

At the Barbasol Championship, I have two criteria. Give me a guy from the Southeastern part of the United States, and give me a player with some level of pedigree or current form in 2016. That man is Roberto Castro.

Best of luck to all!