The Arnold Palmer Invitational kicks off in less than 12 hours, and it's time to dub this week's one-and-done selection.
Sometimes there is an obvious answer when considering the OAD format. Sometimes it's complicated. I've found the trick is to recognize when an answer is obvious, and then not to overthink it.
This is one of those week's where the answer is obvious. It is Henrik Stenson. He's done everything except win at Bay Hill over the last few years, including a runner-up finish. He's fresh off a top 10 last week at the Copperhead Course, and has played at a consistently high level for a while.
Some might argue that it's worth holding out on the Swede for a major or WGC. Perhaps, but why? I get that the purses are bigger, but I also get that Stenson is over 40 now. Who's to say the injury bug doesn't bite him? Ask guys who held off on Rory two years ago how that worked out, and he's in his prime.
There are no guarantees, but if he doesn't score you a top five it's on him. Not you.